| Company | Party ID Breakdown | McCain Lead |
| Survey | D+16 | 8 |
| PPP June | D+14 | 5 |
| PPP July | D+13 | 4 |
| Civitas June | D+12 | 4 |
| Civitas July | D+11 | 3 |
| Survey | D+8 | 5 |
As you can see, the poll that showed the greatest party id advantage for Democrats also showed the greatest lead for John McCain. Granted that was while Hillary was still in the race, but it's still curious.
Throw that one out though and you have a six point spread in party ID advantage over the various polls but only a two point spread in McCain's lead. Is the party breakdown of polls less of an explanatory variable this year than it usually is? We'll certainly see some sign of that when you compare the Virginia poll we're releasing tomorrow with the one we conducted last month.
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