Showing posts with label Addex. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Addex. Show all posts

Thursday, February 18, 2010

Swiss Addex Now on BVF's Watch List

Biotechnology Value Fund is making moves. Public records show the high-profile public investor recently grabbed a 6.6% share of the staggering Swiss firm Addex Pharmaceuticals. BVF sometimes makes public its reasons for piling into a stock, but the Feb. 5 document held no clue, and so far BVF hasn't gotten back to us. (We'll keep you posted.)

Allow us to cogitate upon the news. BVF could be making a straight value play. Addex closed today at 11 CHF per share. That's down nearly 75% from a high of 41.95 CHF just before safety data for its lead candidate tanked the stock in mid-December.

Addex pulled the plug on its lead candidate ADX10059, a metabotropic glutamate receptor 5 (mGluR5) modulator, when its Phase IIb data for migraines revealed elevated liver enzymes. Addex immediately halted another Phase IIb, for reflux. The company was expected to pull in a big licensing deal, but hope for that vanished with the safety revelations.

Obviously BVF thinks the company is undervalued. Addex, after all, has generated a pipeline of molecules via its allosteric modulation platform. But how much will it push for managerial and/or strategic change? CEO Vincent Mutel said in December he didn't think the safety failure of '059 was a class effect that would cripple another important compound in Addex's pipeline. It remains to be seen if BVF will attempt to steer Addex's R&D efforts in a different direction.

Given BVF has done its share of cage-rattling recently, it certainly might. Recall the fund used its 30% stake in Avigen to steer the firm into a merger with MediciNova last August. And last week BVF went public with a suggestion that diagnostics firm Celera, of which it owns nearly 10%, spin out the royalty stream associated with the Phase III osteoporosis drug odanacatib.

Merck is developing odanacatib as a potential replacement for its now-generic Fosamax (alendronate), once a $3 billion annual cash cow. Celera, which has reinvented itself several times since its founding by Craig Venter, doesn't do drug development anymore--its main business is developing diagnostic tests, including ones for cystic fibrosis and HIV genotyping. Still it's owed a "mid- to mid-high single digit" percentage royalty on sales if odanacatib comes to market.

BVF wrote in the Feb. 9 filing that, "if successful, the royalty asset could generate tremendous free cash flow for the Issuer’s shareholders and, accordingly, this single asset could be worth a significant multiple of the Issuer's current market value."

Since October BVF has bought about a million shares of Celera, all in the range of $6.09 to $6.30 per share. Shares closed Thursday at $7.01, giving it a market cap of $574 million.

With at least one portfolio company, however, BVF has bided its time. It holds a 16% stake in Facet Biotech but agreed not to tender its shares when Facet development partner Biogen Idec went hostile with a $14.50-per-share bid last fall. In exchange for permission to up its Facet stake above 15% without triggering a poison pill plan, BVF held fast when Biogen upped its offer to $17.50. Biogen dropped its bid in mid-December. -- Alex Lash

Photo courtesy of flicker user kevin.