Friday, June 18, 2010

Thoughts on Prop 14

Post by Elena Fanjul-Debnam

Big ideas started on the ground in California often grow roots and spread across the country. Prop 14 could be one of those.

California just passed a proposition that consolidates primaries. The two candidates with the most votes in the primary election will enter into the general election. The idea is to end partisanship. But is moderation what we want? And is it what we’ll get?

During primaries is when parties are able to sort out their identity and platform. It allows for nuanced debate about particular issues and many diverse voices to be heard within the party. One might recall the laborious debates over health care during the Democratic Presidential primary—the health care bill was undoubtedly shaped by the ideas articulated during those debates. Obama was forced to adopt many of the other candidates’ ideas as he moved on to the general election and into the presidency.

Primaries are essential events and components to political parties. It is when the average voter gets to have his or her say about the direction of the party. Without primaries parties could lose their base, be less organized and out of date. We may lose the ability to sort out our differences and hear the other’s opinions within the party. Often aspects of minority opinion are adopted on a party level allowing more voices to be heard on as the party’s candidate advances.

Moreover the end of the primary could threaten realignments. Traditionally realignments have occurred through party primaries where candidates are forced to work out the details of the party platform. As a platform and message is molded, voters who disagree break away. If the fraction is large and united enough then they could form another party. As time goes on other parties are forced to readjust their platform in response to the new party. Eventually—in American politics, a system that favors a bicameral system—two parties emerge.

I am not convinced this is possible without primaries. It is very unlikely that a Tea Party candidate or any other third party candidate would be able to rise out of a general election pool, especially when the general election is limited to two candidates. It is more likely that a Tea Party candidate would emerge out of a Republican primary or at the very least some of the Tea Party ideals would be adopted, as we have seen happen across the country.

In a critical time in our political history—when a realignment is very possibly on the horizon—Prop 14 effectively stunts the growth of a third political party.

Is moderation what we’ll get? As candidates enter the primary they will immediately attempt to appeal to the masses, not a smaller subset. We will see the rise of moderation. Candidates who make it to the general election will be hard to differentiate. Will unique candidates make it out of the primary? I’d put my money where the money is—candidates with the most cash from start to end will win the election. Don’t get me wrong, capital has always been a prerequisite for candidates but the price tag will exponentially increase and the candidate field widens.

Is moderation what we want? Underdogs and outliers are not only good but essential in politics. They force politicians to think outside the box, to be more creative and to work harder. Parties are important they hold each other accountable. Moderation is dangerous.

Ron Artest, Oliver Perez and the Mets' amazing turnaround

On June 5, Oliver Perez was put on the DL. Since then, the Mets are 10-1. Much of the rise of the Mets has come from addition by subtraction.

The Mets started their season with several players who did not belong on a major-league roster. The Angels were willing to eat $20 million just to get rid of Gary Matthews Jr. The lowly Royals released Mike Jacobs.

Omar Minaya gave Jerry Manuel a problematic roster, but Manuel made it worse. On Opening Day, he started Matthews in center over Angel Pagan and batted Jacobs cleanup. John Maine and Perez were not only in the rotation without earning spots, but starting ahead of Mike Pelfrey, who had been demoted to fourth starter.

By the time the Mets admitted that Jacobs had to go and Ike Davis should be promoted, they were 4-8. Since then, the Mets are 34-20.

It took longer to get rid of Gary Matthews Jr. and Frank Catalanotto, but at least the Mets have the makings of a bench now with Chris Carter and Jesus Feliciano.

But when Perez refused to be demoted, the Mets faced a crisis. Lots of people wanted the Mets to cut Ollie, but it would have been a mistake to release Perez outright with a year and a half left on his contract. After being dumped by Detroit, Dontrelle Willis has a 1.80 ERA in two starts for Arizona. Jeff Suppan was awful with Milwuakee, but after the Brewers got rid of him, he was reunited with Dave Duncan in St. Louis and pitched well in his first start for the Cardinals.

If the Mets cut Ollie, you just know that someone would pick him up, straighten him out, at least briefly, and at the end of the season, Ollie would be pulling a Ron Artest and thanking his psychiatrist for helping him contribute to a title.

But when Ollie refused to go the minors, the Mets were stuck. They needed to clear a roster spot to activate Jon Niese from the DL. It's easy to look back in hindsight and say that they would have found a good way to get Niese back on the team, such as sending Jenrry Mejia to the minors. But with the kind of moves this team makes, who knows. Maybe Niese would not have been brought back right away.

Finally getting Ollie on the DL showed that the team wanted to win by getting rid of someone who was not putting the team first. And it opened up a spot for Niese, who has gone 3-0 since his return, sparking the 10-1 run.

Minaya has made some good moves, notably acquiring R.A. Dickey and Hisanori Takahashi. The combination of Rod Barajas and Henry Blanco is a huge upgrade at catcher.

Manuel is a dubious strategist, but under his leadership, the Mets are now half a game out of first, so he's got to get credit for that.

When the Mets first played the Yankees this year less than a month ago, I predicted a Yankee sweep and hoped the Mets could take a game. A lot has changed in a short time. I'm still going to have to with the Yankees since the Mets won't have their Citi Field advantage, but I expect the Mets to win at least one game and be competitive throughout the series.

Last year's trip to Yankee Stadium sparked the collapse of the season, thanks to Luis Castillo's drop and Johan Santana's implosion. Let's hope things are a lot better this time around!

Another Bonusgate Defendant Sentenced

A former legislative aide was sentenced to 3 to 6 months in the Dauphin County Jail for her conviction in the illegal bonuses scandal. Judge Richard Lewis also sentenced Anna Marie Peretta-Rosepink to 3 months house arrest and 45 months probation. Perretta-Rosepink, who ran the district office of former Beaver County State Representative Mike Veon, was fined $8,000 and ordered to pay $25,000 in restitution.
Prior to her sentencing, Perretta-Rosepink admitted that she directed employees to perform campaign work on state time. She apologized, admitted to "crossing the line," said she didn't know how to decline when she was asked to do campaign work, and then asked for leniency.
The prosecution was seeking a 19 to 44 month sentence in a state prison. Perretta-Rosepink's attorney called it a fair sentence but the prosecutor Patrick Blessington says she still hasn't accepted full responsibility.
Perreta-Rosepink was convicted in March, along with her former boss, Veon, and a former House aide Brett Cott for their roles in using state tax dollars for illegal campaign work.
Veon is being sentenced later this morning. The prosecution is seeking a sentence of 12 to 17 years. Cott began serving his 21 to 60 month sentence in May. Judge Lewis is expected to rule next week on Cott's request to reduce that sentence.

The Big Question in Illinois

There's not much doubt the single most important factor that will determine who wins the races for Governor and Senate in Illinois this fall: the willingness of Democratic voters to hold their noses and vote for Alexi Giannoulias and Pat Quinn even if they aren't too personally fond of them.

Giannoulias and Quinn are getting a lower level of support from people who voted for Barack Obama in 2008 than any other Democratic candidates across the country we've polled on since the beginning of April, and it's not even close. Only 50% of Obama supporters are currently committed to voting for Giannoulias and just 48% say they'll cast their votes for Quinn.

No other Democrat we've polled on recently has been getting less than 60% of the Obama vote- the one at that level is Roxanne Conlin, running what has to be seen as an incredibly uphill battle against Chuck Grassley in Iowa. Even politicians with sub 30 approval ratings (Chet Culver at 68%) or who are pretty much completely unknown (Vincent Sheheen at 70%, Rodney Glassman at 65%) are doing a far better job of locking up the Democratic base vote.

Even Jon Corzine still got more than 70% of the Obama vote as he was headed for defeat in New Jersey on our final poll before the election there last fall. Corzine's numbers may actually bode well for Giannoulias and Quinn though- he was polling in the low 60s among Obama voters in mid-September and had significantly improved that by the end of the campaign. And Giannoulias and Quinn's current positions are far superior to where Corzine was standing at this point a year ago. A fair number of the base voters will come home in the end- it's just a question of whether it will quite be enough.

The candidate with the Obama base vote most strongly unified around him? Terry Goddard, running against Jan Brewer in Arizona. Just another indication of how the Arizona immigration law has the potential to galvanize and unify Democratic voters, particularly in that part of the country.

Here's the data on how Democratic candidates are doing with Obama voters at this point:

Candidate (State/Office)

Current % of Obama vote

Terry Goddard (Arizona Governor)

90%

John Hickenlooper (Colorado Governor)

81%

Michael Bennet (Colorado Senate)

79%

John Lynch (New Hampshire Governor)

79%

Jerry Brown (California Governor)

77%

Barbara Boxer (California Senate)

76%

Charlie Melancon (Louisiana Senate)

74%

Paul Hodes (New Hampshire Senate)

72%

Vincent Sheheen (South Carolina Governor)

70%

Jack Conway (Kentucky Senate)

69%

Elaine Marshall (North Carolina Senate)

69%

Chet Culver (Iowa Governor)

68%

Rodney Glassman (Arizona Senate)

65%

Roxanne Conlin (Iowa Senate)

60%

Alexi Giannoulias (Illinois Senate)

50%

Pat Quinn (Illinois Governor)

48%

PA’s Tax Amnesty Window Closes at Midnight.

Governor Ed Rendell says the state has already brought in nearly all of its 190 million dollar goal.
Delinquent taxpayers have until midnight to settle debts with no penalty and half the interest.
After that, the state will impose stiffer fines, and step up efforts to collect fees.
A series of edgy television commercials has made that threat over the past month.
Governor Rendell defends the $3 million cost of the ad campaign and its aggressive tone....

"I like them because they work. You know – we’ve been on almost every national news program, and it’s drawn a lot of attention to them. It’s a little like the swift boat ads. What did they put, 200 thousand dollars on tv and they got hundreds of millions of dollars of coverage?"

Rendell says through Thursday morning, the Revenue Department had collected 180 million dollars, and that more applications were coming in around the clock.
This year’s budget banks on 190 million dollars from the tax amnesty program.
Any revenue beyond that would put a dent in the state’s 1.2 billion dollar deficit.

If you can't get to the Subway Series, check out Madison Square Park this weekend

Delta Airlines is sponsoring a whole bunch of cool Subway Series-related events this weekend, with baseball stars, giveaways, and food! Go to Madison Square Park (where Shake Shake is located) in Manhattan to get in on the Delta Dugout fun - there's even going to be a special Subway Series hotdog this weekend at Shake Shack! Here's the info, courtesy of Delta:

Friday, June 18, 10AM – 10PM: Opening Day

11am: Delta’s Madison Square 2nd Annual “Fan Flair” Challenge, judged by New York Yankee Pitcher Joba Chamberlain and New York Met Pitcher Mike Pelfrey. Yankees and Mets fans are invited to dress in their best team-themed attire for a chance to win tickets to future Mets and Yankees games.

10am-7PM: interactive baseball experience, including games, entertainment, giveaways, food

7:10pm: Live viewing of Interleague Game One with great giveaways, including travel packages from Delta and tickets to future Mets and Yankees games.

Saturday, June 19, 10AM – 6PM: Yankees Day

10am-6pm: interactive baseball experience, including games, entertainment, giveaways, food

Noon: Pre-game concert by New York Yankees’ veteran Bernie Williams

Noon-1pm: Yankees Alumni Meet-and-Greet

1pm: Live viewing of Interleague Game Two with great giveaways, including travel packages from Delta and tickets to future Mets and Yankees games.

Sunday, June 20, 10AM – 4PM: Mets Day

10am-4pm: interactive baseball experience, including games, entertainment, giveaways, prizes, food

11am-12 Noon: Fast Pitch contest where fans have the chance to win an opportunity to throw the first pitch at a future Mets’ game at Citi Field; they will also throw the first pitch to Mets’ veteran pitcher Jesse Orosco (of the `86 World Series Mets), on-site at The Delta Dugout.

12:30: Mets Make a Deal with trivia, giveaways and special guest appearances

1pm: Live viewing of Interleague Game Three with great giveaways, including travel packages from Delta and tickets to future Mets and Yankees games.

Will Met 'fan' Lady Gaga show up at the Subway Series?

Uh-oh. I managed to tick off a ton of Madonna wannabe Lady Gaga's "Little Monsters" (as she calls her fans) because I criticized the singer for the way she acted at a Mets game last week.

I did a piece for The Faster Times on how Lady Gaga did this whole "look at me, look at me" act at Citi Field. She showed up in the fifth inning wearing nothing more than a leather jacket, fishnets, and a studded bra and panties, then was all shocked that photographers wanted to take her picture. So she demanded that her seat be changed, then flipped the bird and stripped down to her underwear. Classy!

The most delicious part of the story is that even though she showed up at Citi Field, she told MTV last year that she's a Yankee fan, and had the nerve to compare herself to Mariano Rivera. Good grief.

Anyhow, I'm wondering if Met fan/Yankee fan Lady Gaga is going to try to show up at the Subway Series this weekend. And if she does, what she will do to make a spectacle of herself this time? I hope she wears the Kermit the Frog getup again!

What do you think? Tell us about it!