Friday, May 18, 2007

No surprise: Hillary is the least popular Democrat in North Carolina

In our latest survey we asked the following three questions in succession…

1) If John Edwards were the Democratic nominee for president in 2008, would that make you more or less likely to vote the Democratic ticket?

2) If Barack Obama were the Democratic nominee for president in 2008, would that make you more or less likely to vote the Democratic ticket?

3) If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic nominee for president in 2008, would that make you more or less likely to vote the Democratic ticket?

The top line results by themselves are not very interesting because this is an awkward question to answer. For example, some Republican might say that a Democratic candidate makes them less likely to vote Democratic, when in reality they would never vote Democratic anyway. The results are more valuable when comparing the three candidates against one another and especially in the crosstabs. Here is what we find when we compare the candidates against how people intend to vote for President:



John Edwards and Barack Obama perform similarly; with Edwards having a slight advantage. Edwards does best among people intending to vote Democratic and those who are undecided. Barack Obama has an advantage among Republican voters. Essentially, Obama enrages Republicans less than the other two candidates.

There is no doubt about who performs the worst; Hillary Clinton. While she gets a strong positive response from Democratic voters, she gets the strongest negative reaction from all three groups. Take a look at the complete results to compare the candidates against each other using other demographics.

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